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AHydrologicForecastMethodBasedonLSTM-BP

  

  1. (CollegeofComputerandInformation,HohaiUniversity,Nanjing211100,China)
  • Received:2018-03-19 Online:2018-08-23 Published:2018-08-27

Abstract: Hydrologicaldataissequentialandnon-linear,withhighuncertaintyandcomplexity.Theresultsofhydrologicalforecastingusingasinglemodelareoftendissatisfactory.Therefore,thispaperputsforwordamulti-modelcombinationforecastmodel,basedonLSTMandBPneuralnetwork,toforecasttheflood.ThemodeltakeshydrologicaldatarecordsofthepastyearobtainedfromtheZiwuheRiverasanexample,thetestresultsshowthattheeffectsofmulti-modelcombinationforecastmodelarebetterthanthatofasinglemodel,andthestabilityandaccuracyofforecastingarealsoimproved,whichprovidesanewideaforhydrologicalforecasting.

Key words: longshort-termmemory(LSTM), multi-modelcombinationforecastmodel, hydrologicforecast

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