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Traffic Accident Forecast Model Based on SVR Optimized by Improved PSO

  

  1. Key Laboratory of Advanced Process Control for Light Industry (Ministry of Education),School of Internet of Things, Jiangnan University, Wuxi 214122, China
  • Received:2014-01-09 Online:2014-05-28 Published:2014-05-30

Abstract: In order to predict traffic accidents effectively, this article introduced a traffic accident forecast model based on SVR optimized by improved PSO. The improved particle swarm algorithm searches the neighborhoods of the global optimal particle by grid search which combines the faster convergence speed of the particle swarm algorithm with the stronger local search ability of the grid search. The improved particle swarm algorithm improves the optimization precision of SVR parameters and improves the performance of the traffic accident prediction model. The simulation results show that the traffic accident forecast model based on SVR optimized by improved PSO gets faster learning speed and higher prediction precision, it is of good engineering applicability.

Key words:  particle swarm optimization, grid search, support vector regression, parameter optimization, traffic accident forecast

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