计算机与现代化

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复杂网络下的网络流量预测和预警研究

  

  1. 河海大学物联网工程学院,江苏常州213022
  • 收稿日期:2017-04-22 出版日期:2018-01-23 发布日期:2018-01-24
  • 作者简介:马佳艳(1993-),女,江苏苏州人,河海大学物联网工程学院硕士研究生,研究方向:智能信息处理; 王萍(1963-),女,江苏苏州人,副教授,研究方向:智能信息处理。

Research on Network Traffic Prediction and Early Warning in Complex Networks

  1. College of Internet of Things Engineering, Hohai University, Changzhou 213022, China
  • Received:2017-04-22 Online:2018-01-23 Published:2018-01-24

摘要: 针对复杂网络环境下传统的网络流量预测方法存在预测误差大和精度低的缺点,提出一种基于EMFOA_LSSVM的网络流量预测模型。通过EMD提取网络流量数据的趋势特征和细节特征,构建出预测模型的输入和输出矩阵,运用MFOA_LSSVM实现复杂网络环境下的网络流量预测。实验结果表明,与MFOA_LSSVM,FOA_LSSVM,PSO_LSSVM和LSSVM相比,EMFOA_LSSVM具有更高的预测精度和收敛速度,为网络流量预测和预警提供决策依据。

关键词: 网络流量, 经验模态分解, 复杂网络, 果蝇优化算法

Abstract: Aiming at the shortcomings of the traditional network traffic prediction method in complex network environment, such as large prediction error and low precision, this paper proposes a network traffic prediction model based on EMFOA_LSSVM. EMD is used to extract the trend and detail features of the network traffic data, and the input and output matrix of the prediction model is constructed. The network traffic prediction in complex network environment is realized by MFOA_LSSVM. The experimental results show that, compared with MFOA_LSSVM, FOA_LSSVM, PSO_LSSVM and LSSVM, EMFOA_LSSVM has higher prediction accuracy and convergence speed, and provides the basis for network traffic prediction and early warning.

Key words: network traffic, empirical mode decomposition (EMD), complex network, fruit fly optimization algorithm

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