计算机与现代化 ›› 2012, Vol. 203 ›› Issue (7): 48-50.doi: 10.3969/j.issn.1006-2475.2012.07.013

• 算法设计与分析 • 上一篇    下一篇

基于灰色预测模型的某型导弹贮存寿命评估方法

徐廷学1,赵亮2,孟蕾2   

  1. 1.海军航空工程学院兵器科学与技术系,山东烟台264001;2.海军航空工程学院研究生管理大队,山东烟台264001
  • 收稿日期:2012-03-12 修回日期:1900-01-01 出版日期:2012-08-10 发布日期:2012-08-10

Storage Life Evaluation Method of a Type of Missile Based on Grey Prediction Model

XU Ting-xue1, ZHAO Liang2, MENG Lei2   

  1. 1. Department of Weapon Science and Technology, Naval Aeronautical and Astronautical University, Yantai 264001, China; 2. Graduate Students’ Brigade, Naval Aeronautical and Astronautical University, Yantai 264001, China
  • Received:2012-03-12 Revised:1900-01-01 Online:2012-08-10 Published:2012-08-10

摘要: 科学地确定导弹的贮存寿命对提高部队装备保障能力和战斗力具有重要的现实意义。本文着重描述具有“少数据建模”特点的灰色GM(1,1)预测模型的建模方法及残差精度检验方法,最后应用此模型解决了某型导弹贮存寿命评估的问题,结果表明该方法是有效的,具有较高的使用价值。

关键词: 灰色预测, 导弹, 寿命评估

Abstract: It is very important to scientifically determine the storage life of a missile for developing support ability and combat power of army. Then, the method of gray GM (1, 1) forecast modeling and residual accuracy of test are elaborated in detail. Finally, uses this model to solve the problem of a missile storage life evaluation, through the analytic results, the method is regarded of feasibility and high practice value.

Key words: grey prediction, missile, life evaluation

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