Computer and Modernization ›› 2020, Vol. 0 ›› Issue (09): 6-11.doi: 10.3969/j.issn.1006-2475.2020.09.002

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Time Series Forecasting Model Based on LSTM-Prophet Nonlinear Combination

  

  1. (1. College of Information Science and Technology, Beijing University of Chemical Technology, Beijing 100029, China;
    2. Center for Information Technology, Beijing University of Chemical Technology, Beijing 100029, China)
  • Received:2020-03-17 Online:2020-09-24 Published:2020-09-24

Abstract: At present, the single prediction model has low prediction accuracy for complex nonlinear time series and can not capture the composite characteristics of time series well. Therefore, this paper proposes a time series prediction model based on back propagation neural network combination of Long Short-Term Memory-Prophet (LSTM-Prophet). The prediction values obtained from the long short-term memory network and Prophet prediction model are combined by BP neural network to obtain the final prediction value. Then, a comparative experiment is designed and implemented between the proposed model and three individual models. The accuracy and validity of the proposed model are verified by data sets from three different fields. The experimental results show that the proposed prediction model has high prediction accuracy, good universality, and application prospect.

Key words: long short-term memory, Prophet model, time series prediction, combination prediction

CLC Number: