Abstract: The quantitative assessment and the prediction of software reliability have become the focus of attention and research, because software reliability is an important characteristic of software quality. A software reliability prediction simulation model which can be used before software test is presented to study this problem. This simulation model examines factors which affects the process of software reliability and forecasts software reliability by means of the benchmarking thinking and the similarity of software process measurement data. The simulation model need only the support of the static historical data so that it can be used to estimate the number of remaining software defects before software testing, and forecast the software reliability which provides the basis for software process improvement and software test correction plan.

Key words: software process measurement, software reliability, software reliability prediction simulation model